Electric Vehicles are driving new business opportunities in India

Domestic EV market is likely to grow at CAGR of 49% between 2022 and 2030

The Economic Survey 2023 has predicted that the domestic electric vehicles (EV) market is likely to grow at a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 49% between 2022 and 2030, reaching 1 crore units, 10 million, in annual sales by 2030. That is equivalent to the total number of EVs on road globally as of 2022.

This booming EV industry, which the survey predicts will create 5 crore direct and indirect jobs by 2030, has already opened doors to several new business opportunities for OEMs, fleet operators, financiers and energy solution providers. New features and components in EVs like front boots, remote operations and charging station tracking, are creating opportunities for players across the landscape, including auto component companies who provide vehicle interface, chassis, charging systems, battery management systems, battery accessories and thermal management systems, according to a KPMG-CII report.

Fig 1: Growth in ACC battery manufacturing is the next big focus for India. Image: Mercedes-Benz

Advanced Chemistry Cell Manufacturing

While India's capabilities in the EV battery manufacturing value chain is currently limited to pack assembly, initiatives such as the Production Linked Incentive (PLI) scheme are a significant step towards enhancing domestic cell manufacturing by incentivising players to further develop in this sector.

This scheme has an outlay of Rs 18,912 crore in incentives for building a 50 GWh ACC manufacturing capacity. Further, the ground is fertile for new research and technological innovations in diversifying battery cell chemistries to reduce dependence on lithium, which opens doors for new start-ups.

At present, four companies, – Reliance New Energy Solar Limited, Ola Electric Mobility Private Limited, Hyundai Global Motors Company Limited and Rajesh Exports Limited – have been selected under the PLI scheme for Advanced Chemistry Cell (ACC) Battery Storage.

ACC PLI scheme is expected to accelerate EV adoption and hence translate into net savings of Rs 2,00,000 crore to Rs 2,50,000 crore on account of oil import bill during the period of this programme and increase the share of renewable energy at the national grid level.

Fig 2: Semiconductor chips are at the heart of an electric vehicle | Source: ShutterStock

Electronics and semiconductor manufacturing

Over the last decade, the country's electronics and semiconductor product manufacturing sector has grown tremendously. In 2014, India’s electronics ecosystem which includes manufacturing, design, innovation, and production, was valued at Rs 82,230 crore. By 2022, it had grown to Rs 616,725 crore, and is predicted to surpass Rs 2,466,900 crores by 2025-26.

The electronics and semiconductor industries received 66 per cent of the Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) that flowed into India over the last three years.

With the e-mobility revolution underway in India, the role of semiconductor technology in accelerating EV growth is becoming increasingly important.

Semiconductor technology is at the heart of EVs and enables the development of powerful batteries, efficient power management systems among others. EVs require up to three times more semiconductor content than conventional vehicles and are expected to drive the growth in this sector and provide new business opportunities.

The India Semiconductor Mission (ISM), the business division of the Digital India Corporation that aims at promoting the growth of the country's semiconductor and electronics manufacturing industries, is at present evaluating business proposals from several investors to establish fabs and chip manufacturing facilities in the country.

Fig 3: India’s charging infrastructure is still at a nascent stage and can expect rapid growth over the next decade | Photo: Shutterstock

Charging Infrastructure

The development of charging infrastructure in India is transitioning away from standalone charging stations with dedicated area for multiple chargers, to fragmented installations of destination-based chargers.

By 2030, India is forecasted to be home to 102 million EVs, with 2.9 million public charging stations needed to accommodate the growing EV adoption. More than 30 Charge point operators are presently active in this sector that includes both established players as well as start ups. As the demand for electric vehicles grows, this space is expected to have an upward trajectory as more and more firms compete with each other in this segment.

Fig 4: India’s draft Battery Swapping Policy, if implemented, will trigger exponential growth in the model of battery as a service | Photo courtesy of Honda

Battery-as-a-service (BaaS) gaining prevalence

BaaS is gaining traction as it can reduce charging wait time along with high upfront cost of EVs. It helps consumers lease batteries separately, eliminating the need to purchase the battery upfront along with the vehicle. The model allows users to swap the battery in swapping stations for a recharged battery every time it gets discharged.

BaaS is driving prevalence in e-buses since the model can drastically reduce the initial costs of EVs by up to 50 per cent. The battery for a 9m electric bus costs between Rs 0.5-0.55 crore, while the entire bus costs between Rs 0.12-0.13 crores.

For OEMs, this will help match prices with fossil fuel counterparts, making it a viable option for whom prices have been a major concern, the report said.

Leasing in the shared mobility sector

Driver partners are generally hesitant towards direct ownership of EVs due to apprehensions around the vehicle's performance and financial constraints. Moreover, limited financing options, with only few NBFCs present in the market, also adds to this hesitation. Current financing also has high interest rates (23-25 per cent).

Leasing as an option helps eliminate these factors and hence is gaining preference among consumers. Leasing eliminates the pros of investing a dedicated amount to an asset, while offering the same benefits of owning an EV.

Start-ups at forefront of emerging opportunities

In recent years, India's start-up ecosystem has grown exponentially, garnering attention from both traditional and non-traditional OEMs. Smaller EV OEM start-ups are competing against big industry players in the two-wheeler and three-wheeler spaces, where the volume is expected to see growth in the near future.

Moreover, start-ups are gaining prevalence across various phases of the EV value chain in terms of providing technological tools and software, battery solutions, leasing, ride hailing, and charging infrastructure.

As of March 2022, the Indian EV industry hosts 592 start-ups spanning across battery production, charging infrastructure and battery recycling. Indian start-ups are becoming increasingly prominent in the EV value chain, offering advanced technology solutions.

Sr. No	Vehicle segment	Incentive available	Number of vehicles to be incentivised	Maximum incentive per vehicle
1	e-2W (L1 & L2)	INR 5000/kwh	1,00,000	10,000
2	e-3W autos (L5M)	INR 5000/kwh	15,000	30,000
3	e-3W goods carrier (L5N)	INR 5000/kwh	10,000	30,000
4	e-4W cars (M1)	INR 5000/kwh	10,000	1,50,000
5	e-4W goods carrier (N1)	INR 5000/kwh	10,000	1,00,000
6	e-buses* (SRTu)	10% vehicle cos (ex factory)	1000	20,00,000

Road Tax / Vehicle Registration Fees	Manufactured within the State	Manufactured outside the State
Exemption on Road Tax	100% exemption for first 10,000 buyers 75% exemption for 10,001-15000 buyers 25 % exemption after 15000 buyers upto policy period	25% upto policy period
Exemption from Vehicle Registration Fees	100% exemption for first 10,000 buyers 75% exemption for 10,001-15000 buyers 25 % exemption after 15000 buyers upto policy period	25% upto policy period

S No	Type of PCS/SPCS	Incentive amount	Maximum Incentive available per PCS/SPCS	Max number of PCS/SPCS to be incentivised
1	Slow	60% of the cost	INR 10,000	15,000
2	Moderate/Fast	50% of the cost	INR 5,00,000	500
3	Solar Based fast#	70% of the cost	INR 7,00,000	500

Type of Unit	Max Limit	Max Admissible Subsidy
Micro	30% of FCI	Rs 2 Cr
Small		Rs 7 Cr
Medium		Rs 15 Cr
Non MSME		Rs 30 Cr

Sr No	Vehicle Segment	Incentives
1	Assured Buyback,	6% of total vehicle cost capped at INR 10,000/-
2	Battery warranty of at least 5 years	4% of total vehicle cost capped at INR 6,000/-

Electric Vehicles are driving new business opportunities in India

Editorial Team

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5 kWh

Sr. No	Classification of EV	2022-23	2023-24	2024-25	2025-26	2026-27	Total
1	2W	2,000	8000	20,000	54,000	85,000	1,69,000
2	3W	200	800	2000	4,000	10,000	17,000
3	4W(Non Commercial)	100	400	1400	3,000	7,000	12,000
4	4W(Commercial)	10	40	100	300	650	1,100
5	Buses	10	25	65	200	600	900
	Total						2,00,000

Vehicle Category	Incentive	Maximum Incentive	Number of Electric Vehicles to be incentivized
e-Bicycle	Upfront: 25% of Cost of Bicycle	Rs. 3,000	First 25,000 Bicycle purchased during the policy period
e-2W	Upfront : Fixed Battery: Rs. 5,000/kWh Swappable Battery: Rs. 3000/kWh Scrapping : Rs 5,000	Rs. 30,000 Rs. 15,000 Rs. 5,000	First 10,000 vehicles registered during the policy period
e-Cart	Upfront : Fixed Battery: Rs. 5000/kWh Swappable Battery: Rs. 3000/kWh Retrofit Kit: 15% of cost	Rs. 30,000 Rs. 10,000 Rs.10,000	First 1000 e-Carts registered during the policy period
e-Autos	Upfront : Fixed Battery: Rs. 5000/kWh Swappable Battery: Rs. 3000/kWh Retrofit Kit: 15% of cost Scrapping : Rs 7,500	Rs. 30,000 Rs. 15,000 Rs. 15,000 Rs. 7,500	First 1000 e-Autos registered during the policy period
e-Goods Carrier L5N	Upfront : Fixed Battery: Rs. 5000/kWh Retrofit Kit: 15% of cost Scrapping: 15,000	Rs. 50,000 Rs. 15,000 Rs. 15,000	First 1000 Goods Carrier L5N registered during the policy period
e-Goods Carrier N1	Upfront: Fixed Battery: Rs. 5000/kWh Retrofit Kit: 15% of cost Scrapping: 15,000	Rs. 80,000 Rs. 25,000 Rs. 15,000	First 1000 Goods Carrier N1 registered during the policy period
4 W- e-Cars (Personal)	Upfront: Fixed Battery: Rs. 5,000/kWh Scrapping: 7000	Rs. 1,50,000 Rs. 7,000	First 2000, 4 W- e-Cars (Personal) (including Hybrids as defined in FAME II) registered during the policy period. Applicable only for vehicles with ex showroom price below INR 20 lakhs
4 W- e-Cars (Commercial)	Upfront: Fixed Battery: Rs. 10,000/kWh Scrapping: 7000	Rs. 2,00,000 Rs. 7,000	First 1000, 4 W- e-Cars (Commercial) (including Hybrids as defined in FAME II) registered during the policy period

Vehicle Category	Early Bird Incentive	Maximum Early Bird Incentive
e-Bicycle	Rs. 2000	Rs. 2,000
e-2W, e-Cart, e-Autos, e Goods Carrier (L5N and N1), e-4W (personal & commercial)	Rs 3,500/kWh	Rs. 50,000

Category	Incentive	Maximum Incentive
Private Charging	Infrastructure Incentive: Grant on purchase and installation of charging equipment	Rs. 6,000	Only for the first 30,000 private chargers installed during the policy period.
Public Charging	Reimbursement of GST paid 100% reimbursement of GST paid on the Fast Charging/Swapping Electric Vehicle Supply Equipment (EVSE) procured by private enterprises/individual	Rs. 50,000	Only for the first 50 fast charging /Swapping EVSE installed during the policy period. (Will not be applicable on Chargers under Central Subsidy)
	Upfront electricity infrastructure: Upfront cost on infrastructure for bringing power supply to Electric Vehicle Charging Station	Rs. 5,00,000	Only for the first 50 Public fast Charging/Swapping Stations installed in the state during the policy period. (Will not be applicable on Chargers under Central Subsidy)
	Electricity Duty Exemption: 100% Electricity duty exemption for Public Charging and Swapping stations	For policy period	For policy period

Sr No	Vehicle segment	Ceiling for Early Bird	2023 – 2027
1	2W	35	172
2	3W(E-Rickshaw/ E-Cart)	10	40
3	3W	10	40
4	Car(Including Taxis)	40	167
5	Bus	11	49
6	E-4w ([CV, Stage Carriage/Maxi Cabs)	10	41
Total	–	116	509

Sr No	Vehicle Segment	Subsidy (Whichever Is Lower)	Maximum ExShowroom Price to Avail (INR)
1	Two-Wheeler	10% of the Ex-Showroom Price or INR 15,000	1,50,000
2	Three-Wheeler – e Rickshaw / e-cart	10% of the Ex-Showroom Price or INR 30,000	3,00,000
3	Three-Wheeler	10% of the Ex-Showroom Price or INR 50,000	5,00,000
4	Car	10% of the Ex-Showroom Price or INR 2,50,000	25,00,000
5	Bus	25% of the Ex-Showroom Price or INR 50,00,000	2,00,00,000
6	E-4w ([CV, Stage Carriage/Maxi Cabs)	10% of the Ex-Showroom Price or INR 3,00,000	30,00,000

Sr No	Vehicle Segment	Subsidy (Whichever Is Lower)	Maximum ExShowroom Price to Avail (INR)	No of EVs to be subsdised
1	Two-Wheeler	20% of the Ex-Showroom Price or INR 60,000	1,50,000	28
2	Three-Wheeler – e Rickshaw / e-cart	20% of the Ex-Showroom Price or INR 60,000	3,00,000	10
3	Three-Wheeler	20% of the Ex-Showroom Price or INR 1,00,000	5,00,000	10
4	Car	20% of the Ex-Showroom Price or INR 5,00,000	25,00,000	33
5	Bus	50% of the Ex-Showroom Price or INR 1,00,00,000	2,00,00,000	11
6	E-4w ([CV, Stage Carriage/Maxi Cabs)	20% of the Ex-Showroom Price or INR 6,00,000	30,00,000	9
Total				101

Sr No	Vehicle segment	Number of EVs	State subsidy
1	2W	100	Rs.10,000/- per Kwh of battery capacity subject to a maximum of Rs.30,000/- per vehicle.
2	3W	50	Rs.10,000/- per Kwh of battery capacity subject to a maximum of Rs.50,000/- per vehicle.
3	4W	50	Rs.10,000/- per Kwh of battery capacity subject to a maximum of Rs.2,00,000/- per vehicle

Sr. No	Owner of PCS	Subsidy
1	Retail Outlet of Oil Marketing Companies	15% of the cost of putting up Public Charging Infrastructures and Stations will be reimbursed by the State Govt. in the form of subsidy/ incentive.
2	Local Entrepreneurs	25% of the cost of putting up Public Charging Infrastructures and Stations will be reimbursed by the State Govt. in the form of subsidy/ incentive

Category of vehicle	% Of subsidy	The maximum amount of subsidy
Electric Two-wheelers	15%	Rs. 5000/-
Electric Three-wheelers	15%	Rs.12,000/-
Electric Four Wheelers	15%	Rs. 1,00,000/-

Criteria	Threshold Value
Min. top speed	40km/hour
Min. acceleration	0.65m/s2
Max. electric energy consumption	Not exceeding 7kWh/ 100km
Warranty	At least 3 years comprehensive warranty including that of battery from the manufacturer

EV Segment	Demand Incentives
Electric 2-wheeler	Purchase incentive of Rs. 5,000/- per kWh of battery capacity; Maximum incentive of Rs. 30,000/- per vehicle Incentive for scrapping and de-registering old ICE two wheelers registered in Delhi: Up to Rs. 5,000/- of the incentive shall be reimbursed by the GNCTD All delivery service providers shall be expected to convert 50% of their fleet operating in Delhi to electric by 3V March, 2023 and 100% by 31st March, 2025.
E-Autos	Open permit system shall be applicable & be given on first-come-first-serve basis; no cap on permits issued to e-autos in Delhi Purchase Incentive of Rs. 30,000/- per vehicle shall be provided by GNCTD Interest subvention of 5% on loans and/or hire purchase scheme for the purchase of an e-auto Incentive for scrapping and de-registering old ICE auto rickshaws registered in Delhi: Up to Rs. 7,500/- of the incentive shall be reimbursed by the GNCTD The auto-rickshaw permits linked to the de-registered ICE vehicle can be surrendered and exchanged for an e-auto permit at no additional cost.
E-rickshaws & E-carts	Purchase Incentive of Rs. 30,000/- per vehicle shall be provided by GNCTD Interest subvention of 5% on loans and/or hire purchase schemes Buses
E-buses	Pure electric buses shall constitute at least 50% of all new stage-carriage buses (i.e., for all public transport vehicles with 15 seats or more) procured for the city fleet including for last-mile connectivity Induction of 1000 pure electric buses by 2020
Goods Carriers	A Purchase Incentive of Rs. 30,000/- to the first 10,000 e-Carriers to be registered in Delhi after the issuance of this policy. Interest subvention of 5% on loans and/or hire purchase schemes. Incentive for scrapping and de-registering old ICE goods carriers registered in Delhi: Up to Rs. 7,500/- of the Incentive shall be reimbursed by the GNCTD Goods carriers (i.e., L5N and N1 type)
Four wheeler	Purchase Incentive of Rs. 10,000/- per kWh of battery capacity Maximum incentive of Rs. 1,50,000/- per vehicle to the registered owners of the first 1000 e-cars to be registered in Delhi after the issuance of this policy

Criteria	Threshold value
Min. top speed	40 km/hr
Min. acceleration	0.65 m/s2
Max. electric energy consumption Not exceeding	7 kWh/100km
Warranty	At least 3 years comprehensive warranty including that of battery from the manufacturer

Vehicle Segment	Battery Size in KWH (approx.)	State Subsidy Amount(Rs.)	Total State Subsidy (Rs.)	Maximum ex-factory price to avail incentive (Rs.)
Electric Two wheeler	2 KWH	10000/- per kWh	20000/-	1,50,000
Electric Three wheeler	5 KWH	10000/- per kWh	50000/-	5,00,000
Electric Four wheeler	15 KWH	10000/- per kWh	150000/-	15,00,000

Vehicle Segment	Incentive Available ( INR)	No. of Vehicles to be Incentivized	Maximum Incentive per Vehicle (INR)
Electric Two Wheeler (L1 & L2)	5000/kwh	1,00,000	10,000
Electric 3 Wheeler autos (L5M)	5000/kwh	15,000	30,000
Electric 3 Wheeler goods carrier (L5N)	5000/kwh	10,000	30,000
Electric 4 Wheeler cars (M1)	5000/kwh	10,000	1,50,000
Electric 4 Wheeler goods carrier (N1)	5000/kwh	10,000	1,00,000
Electric buses	10% of vehicle Cost	1,000	20,00,000

Vehicle Segment	Scrappage Incentive
Electric Two-Wheeler	INR 7,000
Electric Three-Wheeler	INR 15,000
Electric Four Wheeler	INR 25,000

Incentives Description	Incentives
Assured Buyback	6% of total vehicle cost capped at INR 10,000/-
Battery warranty of at least 5 years	4% of total vehicle cost capped at INR 6,000/-

CHARGING STATION	Incentive
Small Charging Stations	Capital Subsidy of 25% of the value of the charging equipment/machinery for first 300 charging stations up to a Maximum subsidy of INR 1,50,000
Medium Charging Stations	Capital Subsidy of 25% of the value of the charging equipment/machinery for the first 100 stations up to a Maximum subsidy of INR 2,00,000.
Large Charging Stations	Capital Subsidy of 25% of the value of the charging equipment/machinery for the first 100 stations up to a Maximum subsidy of INR 10,00,000.

Vehicle Segment	State Subsidy Amount (in Rs.)	Max ex-factory price to avail incentive (in Rs.)
2 wheeler	Rs. 10,000/- per kWh	1,.50,000
3 wheeler	Rs. 10,000/- per kWh	5,00,000
4-Wheeler	Rs. 10,000/- per kWh	15,00,000

Vehicle Segment	Max vehicle to be supported	Approx. battery size	Approx incentive @10,000 per kWh
Electric 2 wheeler	24,000	2 kWh	20,000/-
Electric 3 wheeler	70,000	5 kWh	50,000/-
Electric 4 wheeler	4000	15 kWh	150,000/-
4 wheeler (SHEV)	1000	1.3 kwh	13,000/-
Electric bus	1000	250 kwh	25,00,000/-